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REPLAY | Employment Conference Call (Fri.) | Still Full Employment? Labor Market Beginning and in 2024 – 2/2/24
Still Full Employment? Labor Market Beginning and in 2024
- Beginning of Year Labor Market—Superstrong? Strong? Solid? Weakening? Weak?
- Jobs (Nonfarm Payrolls); Persons Working and the Unemployment Rate (Hh. Survey of Individuals)
- Where Strong? Where Weak?
- Wage Inflation (Avg. Hrly. Earnings)—A Measure of Compensation Costs, Potential Cost-Price Spiral, and Company Profits Indicator
- Labor Market Slackening and a Rebalancing? Most Desirable Result
- Labor Market and the Economy
- Why So Strong a Labor Market?
- Basic Prospect Implications—Sustainable Expansion?
- “Parameters” of Full Employment
- Federal Reserve (FOMC) Meeting Results and Prospects
- Powell and Committee Comments and Statements
- Monetary Policy Stance Going Forward
- Federal Funds Policy Rate Forecast
- Interest Rates
- Short-Term, Long-Term and Yield Curve
- Deficits and Debt; Expected Inflation Inputs on Long End
- Earnings Prospects and the Equity Market—Still Bullish
- Economy and S&P 500 Op. EPS
- Fair Value and Ranges—S&P 500
- Concluding Perspective—Why Has, and Is, the Labor Market So Strong?