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Global Investment Strategy: Sangfroid!
- A thick layer of complacency has blanketed global financial markets as prices have pushed higher across most asset classes in 1H2Q17.
- Decision Economics (DE) forecasts global growth at a strong pace through 2018 with low inflation and low real interest rates, the rising “hawkish” chatter by many major central banks notwithstanding. DE models show no recession in sight.
- Against this backdrop, DE retains OW exposure to equities in the U.S., EMs, core EZ and Japan, while reducing exposure to the UK and Europe’s periphery.
- DE maintains UW positions in dollar and non-dollar developed market bonds, while raising exposure to emerging market dollar and non-dollar bonds.