» REPLAY – Sinai’s Employment Conference Call – 9/4/15 Decision Economics

REPLAY – Sinai’s Employment Conference Call – 9/4/15

Posted September 4, 2015 by rvillareal

Another Labor Day—the Labor Market, Economy, Inflation and the Fed

 

–        A “Labor Day” Look at the August and to-date Labor Market

  • The Data—Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate and “Slack”—“Some Further Improvement in Labor Market Conditions?”
  • Labor Market and the Economy, Wage and Price Inflation
  • Why No “Phillips Curve” Accelerating Wage or Price Inflation: “Technology Shift?”

–        DE “Basic Prospect,” Risks, and the Fed Forecasts—Economy, Inflation, Unemployment

–        The Fed After Jackson Hole

  • First Hike in 2015—After Uncertain
  • Data Dependent—Principally Price Inflation
  • Inflation Mystery Remains

–        DE Fed Scenario and Interest Rate Outlook

–        Equity and Currency Market Perspectives

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