» REPLAY: Employment Conference Call – September 2018 Decision Economics

REPLAY: Employment Conference Call – September 2018

Posted September 7, 2018 by rvillareal

Labor Market in Late Summer: How Long So Strong a Labor Market?

 

The Labor Market as a Reflection of the Economy—

The Economy as a Reflection of the Labor Market

  • S. Labor Market in August—Strong, Mixed, Weak?
    • Jobs, Employment and Unemployment, Wage Inflation
    • Strengths, Weaknesses
    • Special Factors
  • Labor Force Growth and Productivity Equals Potential Economic Growth—One of Chair Powell’s “Stars” Now in Question
  • Economy Implications—Q3 Tracking and Beyond
    • DE “Basic Prospect”—“New” New Normal Still?
    • How Tight the Labor Market and How Far Down the Unemployment Rate?
    • Where is the Wage and Price Inflation?
  • Labor Market and the Federal Reserve
    • “Fed” Plan—Any Changes?
    • Fed Prospect—DE View
  • Chairman Powell and J-Hole—A Significant Departure?
  • Equities, Fixed Income, the U.S. Dollar—Prospects Short- and Longer-Run

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