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China: Soft-landing–for now
- China’s GDP and all other data released last night, and recently, point toward continued growth at a pace consistent with gradually easing inflationary pressures; a soft-landing—for now.
- The risk of a hard-landing has not gone away; it has actually increased during the past few months, if one considers both the still-uncertain consequences of earlier policy steps and the deterioration of China’s export markets.
- Nonetheless, it is hard not to view the data just released as constructive from a financial investor’s perspective: the economy seems to be functioning satisfactorily (against official targets) and there would appear to be no need for further policy tightening.
10-17-11–EMG INDICATORS AND INSIGHTS _China’s GDP_[/private][/private]