REPLAY: Sinai’s Employment Conference Call – 4/7/19

Posted April 7, 2017 by rvillareal

The Labor Market and the Economy—Still A “Disconnect?” Which is Right?

• Labor Market in March—Strong, Weak, Neither?

• Jobs, Unemployment Rate, and Wage Inflation
• “Full Employment”—Near, At, Beyond? The Outlook
• U3 or U6—Part-Time and Other “Structural” Changes in the Labor Market
  • The “Disconnect”—Labor Market and the Economy as Measured by GDP—Which Is Right?
• Labor Market—Story Strong to Boomy
• Real GDP—Story a Weak Economy
• Anatomy of the Labor Market and Other Measures vs. GDP
  • DE Basic Prospect and Macro Risk Alternatives
  • Fed Policy and Emerging New Plans
    • Mission Accomplished! Achievement of Full Employment and Price Stability
    • New Guidance Coming—Maintaining and Sustaining Full Employment and Price Stability—Not Too Hot Nor Too Cold? DE Scenario
    • The Plan, Incoming Data, and the Federal Funds Rate Prospect—The Fed and DE
    • Full Employment and Price Stability Operational Definitions In-Play?
  • The Labor Market and Financial Markets—Near- and Longer-Term