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REPLAY | Monthly | Employment Conference Call| Spring and the U.S. Labor Market in 2024 – 4/5/24
Spring and the U.S. Labor Market in 2024
Labor Market in Early Spring (Mar.)—Superstrong? Still Strong? Rebalancing? Softening? Weak?—The Data and The Story
• Jobs (Nonfarm Payrolls); Persons Working (Hh. Survey); Unemployment Rate; Earnings (Avg. Hrly.) and Compensation
• Signs of Softening?
The Flavor—How Now the U.S. Labor Market?
• Still “Fully Employed”?
• Structural Changes to Note
Economy Implications—Baseline Prospect (“Expansion”) (Odds 65%); “Soft Landing” (the Fed Forecast) (Odds 10%); “Boomy” Expansion (Odds 10%); Recession (Odds 15%)
Fed Policy and Interest Rates—No Hurry to Cut But No Increases
The Economy and the Equity Market—Still Trend Bullish
The Economy and the Election—The Election and the Economy
Research Studies
DE | Sinai Economic and Market Perspectives | Seeds of A Sovereign Debt Crisis Planted – 02/03/21
[private] [/private] Seeds of A Sovereign Debt Crisis Planted Allen Sinai* The U.S. and Global economies have undergone a fiscal/debt revolution of huge import from which there will be no turning away! The main catalysts read more
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