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Research
Decision Economics, Inc. (DE) led by Chief Global Economist and Strategist, Dr. Allen Sinai, provides global macroeconomic research and support to help investment professionals position themselves in the financial markets. Our research, a blended, scientific methodology, provides both high-frequency analysis of tactical factors and strategic analysis of big wave, secular trends that unfold in each economic cycle. The firm is comprised of several of the most respected Economists on Wall Street who collaborate to interpret fundamental factors and policies that shape global and regional economic cycles and traditional and non-traditional asset classes.
DE | REPLAY | Monthly | Employment Conference Call | Still Beyond Full Employment? The Labor Market in February – 3/10/23
A “Supertight” Labor Market, the lowest unemployment rate in 54 years that is well below conventional measures of full employment—“Good News” for the economy, people and families but “Bad News” for the Federal Reserve, Fixed read more
REPLAY| DE | Quarterly | GDP Conference Call | “Soft Landing” or “Recession?” Which?Q4 2022, 2022 and 2023 Prospect – 1/26/23
“Soft Landing” or “Recession?” Which? Q4 2022, 2022 and 2023 Prospect • Where Was/Is the Recession? o Q4 2022 Adv. Report on Real GDP and Year 2022 o Q4 and 2023 o Strengths, Weaknesses • read more
REPLAY| Monthly | Employment Conference Call|Labor Market, the Economy, the Fed—How Long Strong? – 1/6/23
Labor Market, the Economy, the Fed—How Long Strong? End-of-Year Labor Market (Dec.)—How Long Strong? Jobs (Headline Nonfarm Payrolls)—Weak? Strong? Mixed? Persons Working (Hh. Survey)—Weak? Strong? Mixed? Unemployment Rate (Hh. Survey)—Still Essentially a Fully-Employed Labor Market read more
DE | Sinai Economic and Market Perspectives | Holiday Season Cheer?—Or Not? Economy Quite O.K.. – 12/12/22
Holiday Season Cheer?—Or Not? Economy Quite O.K.. Inflation Downshifting But Still Entrenched High. Fed 2% Mission Continues…But With a Shift. Politics and Geopolitics a Little Better Economy O.K. and Inflation Diminishing Holiday Season Cheer is read more
REPLAY | Employment Conference Call | Labor Market (Nov.)—Key to the Economy, Inflation, Fed and Markets – 12/2/22
Labor Market in Nov.—Still Strong or Not? Rebalancing? Jobs, Persons Working, Labor Supply Wages: Any Cost-Push? Where Strong? Where Weak? Economy Implications Q4 Economy and Beyond—Baseline “Soft Landing” (60%); Recession (25%); Growth Recession (10%); Expansion read more
REPLAY | Monthly | GDP Conference Call | Where’s the Recession? Slowdown Sure, But Entrenched High Inflation – 10/27/22
Where’s the Recession? Slowdown SureBut Entrenched High Inflation Q3 U.S. Economy (1st Report)—Ain’t Any Recession Here-and-Now Real GDP Q3 Summary—Strong? Slowdown? Mixed? Recession? What’s Strong, What’s Weak? Motion is “Boomy Expansion” to “Slowdown or Transition” read more
Research Studies
DE | Sinai Economic and Market Perspectives | Seeds of A Sovereign Debt Crisis Planted – 02/03/21
Seeds of A Sovereign Debt Crisis Planted Allen Sinai* The U.S. and Global economies have undergone a fiscal/debt revolution of huge import from which there will be no turning away! The main catalysts are the read more
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