REPLAY – Sinai’s Employment Conference Call –

Posted February 10, 2014 by rvillareal

January Labor Market, Economy, Fed Policy, Markets:

Troubles in the New Year[private]

–        Labor Market in January—Where are the Jobs?

• The Data—Jobs, Employment and Unemployment, the Unemployment Rate
• Weakening? Sideways? Strengthening?
• Jobs and the Q1 U.S. Economy Track—Weather Effects?
• Looking Ahead—“Baseline Prospect” and Macro Risks

–        Labor Market, the Fed and Monetary Policy

• “Tapering” Preset?
• “Tapering” the “Taper”?
• Fed Prospects and Policies

–        “EMG Troubles” Tail Risk—Tail Wags the Dog?

• EMG Risk and Uncertainty
• Contagion Dimensions
• When Will We Know on EMG Fallout?
• U.S. and Global Economy at Risk—How Much?

–        Equity Markets’ Corrections and Prospects

• Pluses—U.S. Earnings and Margins, Macro Fundamentals
• Minuses—EMG, China, Fed Tapering, Weak Early Year
• Policy Responses as Insurance—Timeline?
• The Nikkei “Correction” and Japanese Policies—What and When