REPLAY – Sinai’s Employment Conference Call – 10/2/15

Posted October 2, 2015 by rvillareal

The Labor Market and the Economy— Heading for More Than [private]

“Full Employment”?

–       Labor Market in September—Strong, Weak, Mixed?

• Jobs, “Slack”, the Unemployment Rate—How Goes It?
• Progress Toward “Full Employment” and “Price Stability”?
• Heading for More Than “Full Employment”—Almost for Sure

–       Unemployment and Wage-Price Inflation: The “Phillips Curve” Still Not Operating?

• Why Declining Unemployment and Inflation Rates?
• Oil and Technology Shocks Possibilities
• Replay of the 1990s?

–        Fed Policy and Interest Rate Prospects

• Fed Scenario Now—Before and After “Liftoff”
• DE Interest Rate Forecasts and the “New” DE Interest Rate Models
• Price Inflation and Financial Markets—Key Going Forward

–        DE Basic Prospect and Macro Risk Scenarios—Increased Downside Risks

–        Stock Market and the “Correction”—Still a Bull Equity Market

REPLAY – Employment Conference Oct 2015[/private]