REPLAY: Sinai’s GDP Conference Call – April 2018

Posted April 29, 2018 by rvillareal

Early 2018 U.S. Economy—Q1 First Report and Prospects

• How Goes the U.S. Economy Starting 2018?
  • First Quarter—Economy Momentum Up? Stable? Weaker?
    • What’s Strong? What’s Not? The “Fundamentals”
  • DE “Basic Prospect” and Macro Risk Alternatives
  • Major Issues—Jobs, Inflation, Fed, Tax “Reform” Effects, Profits
    • Unemployment, Inflation and The “Phillips Curve”
    • Fed Policy and Interest Rates (“Bear” Fixed Income and “3%”)
    • “Trumponomics’ Tax Plan” Impacts
  • Q1 Earnings Blowout!
    • S&P500 Op EPS Upward Revisions
    • Temporary or Permanent?
  • Equity Bull Market Still?
    • New S&P500 Fair Value and Ranges
      • P/E and “Forward Earnings” Moving Up
    • Other Major Risks
  • Trade and Protectionism
  • Trump and Washington
  • Geopolitical

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